Match Time: 9/29/2020 02:30 Tuesday（GMT+8）
Looking ahead to Tuesday morning, Paderborn will take on Hamburger SV at Benteler-Arena with a 2:30am kick-off. This is a 2 Bundesliga game. Read on for full preview, match prediction and betting suggestion. There is some decent positive expected value to be exploited for this match-up. Our analysis will highlight where it can be found.
Head To Head
A glance at the record books shows that Paderborn played Hamburger SV in 2019 in a 2. Bundesliga match. The winners on the day were Paderborn - with a score of 4-1. S. Vasiliadis bagged a brace for Paderborn.Over the last decade, these two sides have played 5 times. Paderborn have run out winners in 2 of these and Hamburger SV have won 3 of these clashes. There have been no draws.When these sides meet, there has been an average of 2.8 goals. Paderborn have scored an average of 1.4 and Hamburger SV score an average of 1.4 each time they've met.Focussing on the Home and Away performance numbers, whichever side has been at home has won 40% of these matches and the visitors have got the win 60% of the time.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 30 matches. They have 6 wins; 5 draws; and 19 losses. This gives Paderborn a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 20%-16%-63%.In this time, they have scored 1.17 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.77 goals on average.When at home, in this period, they have a win rate of 16% (2 wins) from 12 home fixtures. 8% (1) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 75% (9) resulting in a loss for the home side.When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.33 and they have conceded 2.17 on average.Given the available evidence and the market prices, we like the latest analysis for Paderborn in this preview.
Hamburger SV have 3 points in 2 Bundesliga, which puts them in 4th place.There has been 29 matches played by them over the recent 12 months. They have 11 wins; 8 draws; and 10 losses. These recent results put Hamburger SV on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 37%-27%-34%.In this period, they have an average of 1.59 goals for, and 1.66 goals against.Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 13% (2 wins) from their last 15 away fixtures. 46% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 40% (6) resulting in a loss as the away side.On average they have scored 1.4 times when playing away in this period; they have conceded 1.93.Across all formats, they are averaging 1.2 goals per game in their most recent ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 40%. In terms of the BTTS, 6 of these games have been matches where both teams have scored. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from these ten.They are also on a run of 8 matches in a row in which they have scored.There is no strong data to make Hamburger SV the value play on this occasion. The sportsbooks would need to offer a bigger price to grab our attention.
Betting tip for Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
We suggest that Paderborn should win when these sides meet and the tip comes with a decent rating. Visit some companies for odds of 2.8.
SC Paderborn 07 VS Hamburger SV
Prediction: SC Paderborn